Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.293401 0.342149 0.398450 0.468743 0.554791 0.657519 0.790674
2025-08-03 0.222923 0.285252 0.366104 0.480695 0.642288 0.867320 1.214182
2025-08-10 0.180214 0.246233 0.339351 0.484496 0.713152 1.074519 1.722188
2025-08-17 0.151816 0.218078 0.317802 0.485519 0.775072 1.285298 2.333453
2025-08-24 0.130714 0.195433 0.298086 0.481969 0.825248 1.491207 3.043345
2025-08-31 0.113964 0.176095 0.279042 0.473590 0.862333 1.684410 3.840513
2025-09-07 0.104131 0.166098 0.273238 0.486760 0.943930 2.001974 5.158630
2025-09-14 0.092916 0.151917 0.257389 0.476682 0.973357 2.212919 6.350873
2025-09-21 0.085420 0.143119 0.249753 0.481182 1.036644 2.538222 8.211759
2025-09-28 0.078442 0.134268 0.240508 0.480082 1.086239 2.851659 10.375926
2025-10-05 0.074107 0.129744 0.238974 0.495671 1.183874 3.363880 14.071766
2025-10-12 0.069964 0.125030 0.236266 0.507890 1.277102 3.920974 18.930067
2025-10-19 0.066011 0.120325 0.233121 0.519131 1.374758 4.573451 25.813903
2025-10-26 0.062773 0.116695 0.231819 0.535094 1.495198 5.419394 36.489672
2025-11-02 0.059097 0.111716 0.226758 0.540031 1.582643 6.203878 49.542159
2025-11-09 0.055580 0.106677 0.220835 0.541349 1.659231 7.015848 66.693108
2025-11-16 0.052115 0.101379 0.213576 0.537332 1.715684 7.787784 87.958203
2025-11-23 0.048700 0.095845 0.205030 0.527774 1.747902 8.465969 112.908909
2025-11-30 0.046874 0.093677 0.204501 0.542816 1.889458 10.021049 171.196516
2025-12-07 0.043926 0.088666 0.196150 0.531307 1.912125 10.794677 221.158285
2025-12-14 0.041992 0.085822 0.193042 0.536445 2.014860 12.345770 326.149668
2025-12-21 0.039941 0.082513 0.188307 0.535188 2.088128 13.790651 467.927774
2025-12-28 0.038804 0.081275 0.188973 0.553000 2.268731 16.589678 816.080675